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TsviBT comments on Building Phenomenological Bridges - Less Wrong
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TL;DR: To do induction, you need to calculate P(Hypothesis, given Observation). By Bayes,
But how do we calculate=P(\mbox{Observation,%20given%20Hypothesis}))
? How do we go from hypotheses to predicted observations, given that actual observations made by an agent are not internal features of a hypotheses, but rather are data coming from a totally different part of the agent?
(Edit: But seriously, read the post, it is awesome.)