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Caspian comments on Measuring lethality in reduced expected heartbeats - Less Wrong
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That seems high.
Smoking shortens life by about ten years-- but not so much if you stop by age 40. This may imply that if we get decent anti-aging tech, smoking won't be a serious risk. How hard would the tech be to not be bothered by cigarette smoke?
Let's assume someone who didn't stop smoked for 40 years-- two packs a day. That's 40 x 365 x 40 = 584,000 cigarettes. Divide that into 10 years worth of minutes, and it comes out as .9 minutes, assuming I set up the calculations properly.
I think there's an error in your calculations.
If someone smoked for 40 years and that reduced their life by 10 years, that 4:1 ratio translates to every 24 hours of being a smoker reducing lifespan by 6 hours (360 minutes). Assuming 40 cigarettes a day, that's 360/40 or 9 minutes per cigarette, pretty close to the 11 given earlier.