g comments on Doublethink (Choosing to be Biased) - Less Wrong
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Comments (161)
Tiiba: "makes no sense" and "would be surprising" are very different things, and the former is excessive for the claim about depressed people. The level of confidence that's optimal for making correct predictions about the world could be much lower than the level that's optimal for living a happy life. Do you have some way of knowing that it isn't?
(Let me forestall one argument against by remarking that evolution is not in the business of maximizing our happiness.)