ChristianKl comments on A proposed inefficiency in the Bitcoin markets - Less Wrong
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Various people do consider ECDSA to be effectively broken with quantum computers. It's hard to estimate what a quantum computer of a certain power is going to cost in 20 years.
That said, I don't need to capture enough coins to pay for the attack. I can buy options on failing bitcoin price and attack. If it's known that there's an attacker who randomly hijacks transactions the bitcoin price takes a blow.