private_messaging comments on Why CFAR? - Less Wrong
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Comments (117)
While to some extent I think this criticism may be valid, especially given the fact that it was a known factor prior to the foundation of CFAR, I think it's not entirely fair. Given that CFAR is more or less attempting to create a new curriculum and area of study, it isn't entirely clear what it would look like to have a proven track record in the field.
Now obviously CFAR would be more impressive if it was being run by Daniel Kahneman. But given that that isn't going to happen, I think the organization that we have is doing a fairly good job, especially given that many of their staff members have impressive accomplishments in other domains.
Having a track record of creating something else that's unambiguously useful would be a start.
Mostly, people attempt to do grand and exceptional things either due to having evidence (prior high performance, for example), or due to having delusions of grandeur (prior history of such delusions). Those are two very distinct categories.
Certainly-- that's what I was discussing when I wrote "many of their staff members have impressive accomplishments in other domains."