James_Miller comments on New Year's Prediction Thread (2014) - Less Wrong

9 Post author: Thomas 01 January 2014 09:38AM

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Comment author: James_Miller 01 January 2014 10:02:37PM *  11 points [-]

Nicholas Wade will get fired from the New York Times because of his book A Troublesome Inheritance: Genes, Race, and Human History. (Probability 30%)

Comment author: MichaelAnissimov 11 May 2014 03:24:03PM 5 points [-]

This has happened: 30-year New York Times Science Writer Out After Writing Book About Genetics, Race.

Comment author: Kaj_Sotala 12 May 2014 04:33:45AM 1 point [-]

From that page:

Correction: Wade tells blogger Luke Ford that he retired from the Times 2 years ago, but still contributes articles to the paper. Neither Wade nor the Times returned earlier requests for comment on the matter.

Comment author: gwern 14 May 2014 03:37:31PM 1 point [-]

Luke Ford source http://www.lukeford.net/blog/?p=54601 :

[Wade:] “I retired from the Times about two years ago. There’s a blogosphere story today that the Times didn’t like the book and fired me, but the writer invented the whole thing based on his having seen the words ‘former Science editor’ in the piece I did in Time.”

...Luke: “You will be writing future articles for the New York Times?”

Nicholas: “I assume so. I write for them quite regularly on a contract basis but I am not on their staff any longer.”

Comment author: MichaelAnissimov 12 May 2014 09:00:44AM 1 point [-]

I propose the prediction be amended to, "The New York Times will never accept articles from Nicholas Wade again."

Comment author: MichaelAnissimov 05 January 2014 02:57:44AM 4 points [-]

I agree with this prediction.

Comment author: MichaelAnissimov 11 May 2014 05:44:26PM 3 points [-]

Apparently the Daily Caller article is mistaken, Wade took a retirement package two years ago and is now a science writer rather than science editor, according to Charles Murray here. So, the jury is still out on this one, we will wait and see if he is fired from being a science writer.

Comment author: Douglas_Knight 11 May 2014 06:45:41PM 1 point [-]

Wade stopped being science editor in 1997 (so that he could write articles), so it's pretty weird that the Time byline was "former science editor," regardless of how Wade's position changed in 2012 or last week.

Comment author: gwern 11 May 2014 04:20:27PM 3 points [-]

I gave it 40% after reading the advance reviews. That was even faster than I had expected.

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