OK like comparing apples and oranges. We wind up with apples AND oranges through similar mechanisms ni carbon and oxygen after 100s of millions of years of evolution, but we seriously consider we can't get there with design in silicon after less than 100 years of trying while watching the quality of our tools for getting there doubling every 5 years or so?
I'm not saying it HAS to happen. I'm just saying the smart bet is not against it happening.
I didn't say that conscious AI isn't possible. Not the least. I just said that that your argument wasn't sound.
If Strong AI turns out to not be possible, what are our best expectations today as to why?
I'm thinking of trying myself at writing a sci-fi story, do you think exploring this idea has positive utility? I'm not sure myself: it looks like the idea that intelligence explosion is a possibility could use more public exposure, as it is.
I wanted to include a popular meme image macro here, but decided against it. I can't help it: every time I think "what if", I think of this guy.