Stuart_Armstrong comments on Planning Fallacy - Less Wrong

41 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 17 September 2007 07:06AM

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Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 17 September 2007 12:03:36PM 3 points [-]

Very interesting idea, the inside-outside contrast. Is this connected in any way to the fact that outside consultants are often better a spotting problems than those inside the company?

Both groups finished an average of 3 days before Christmas.

Is this true in general? Is there really no difference between time taken on an optimistic schedule and a realistic one? I've found that projects with long dealines tend to "slip" a bit, no matter how long the deadline is.