Sudeep_D'Souza comments on Planning Fallacy - Less Wrong

41 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 17 September 2007 07:06AM

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Comment author: Sudeep_D'Souza 27 March 2008 02:38:28AM 0 points [-]

Estimates get derailed by "unexpected delays or unforeseen catastrophes". These are nothing but risks. If one can manage the project by managing the risks in the project and keeping it in control I think most tasks can be accomplished within a reasonable estimate.

I have written more on this on my blog http://sudeepdsouza.blogspot.com/2008/03/managing-risk-for-better-estimates.html.