Alsadius comments on Literature-review on cognitive effects of modafinil (my bachelor thesis) - Less Wrong
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Well, meta-analyses certainly are an area of interest to me, and I was disappointed in 2012 by "Cognition Enhancement by Modafinil: A Meta-Analysis" (Kelley et al 20120) which used only 3 studies, and so was not very informative. A new meta-analysis would be great. But... I read quickly through it, and I saw no meta-analysis. Just a literature review. What's with the post title?
Nitpick: I really hate this use of 'significantly' and I ban it from my own writing. Is this referring to effect sizes or p-values?
Eh. Absence of improvement != damage. Randal 2004 didn't find a statistically-significant decrease (and it's not clear whether it should, given that it reports 25 datasets for 3 groups, so hunting for decreases incurs worries about multiplicity). And I have to point out, as far as Müller et al 2012 goes, the decrease didn't reach p<0.05 (just 0.053), and if you're willing to accept just trending, then you should also be accepting the increase in the GEFT/Group Embedded Figures Task (p=0.08).
How important are these observations...? Well, as you found out, it can be hard to compare or meta-analyze psychology studies since studies may cover the same topic but use different sets of tests, frustrating the most obvious approach 'just univariate meta-analyze everything!'
Hah.
I'm not an academic, but my understanding was that "significantly" was a synonym for "p<0.05" every time in academic writing. "Significantly" referring to effect size is solely the province of non-academic writing(well, that or things like history).
If only it were that simple. But one of my scripts flags use of significance language, and I have seen many times 'significant' and variants used in scientific writing as meaning important or large.
Sigh. People suck sometimes.