Lumifer comments on Dr. Jubjub predicts a crisis - Less Wrong

50 Post author: Apprentice 10 January 2014 03:52PM

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Comment author: Lumifer 11 January 2014 05:53:23AM 1 point [-]

Well, it's up to you to decide how much the uncertainty of outcome should influence your willingness to do something. It's OK to think it's worthwhile to follow a certain path even if you don't know where would it ultimately lead.

Comment author: ChrisHallquist 11 January 2014 05:59:45AM 3 points [-]

"Uncertainty" is different than "no clue." Or maybe I'm assuming too much about what you mean by "no clue" - to my ear it sounds like saying we have no basis for action.

Comment author: Lumifer 11 January 2014 02:55:33PM 1 point [-]

Large amounts of uncertainty including the paradoxical possibility of black swans == no clue.

it sounds like saying we have no basis for action

You have no basis for action if you are going to evaluate your actions on the basis of consequences in a hundred years.