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JoshuaFox comments on AALWA: Ask any LessWronger anything - Less Wrong
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Thanks. I was basing my comments about Norvig on what he says in the intro to his AI textbook, which does address UFAI risk.
What's the quote? You may very well have better knowledge of Norvig's opinions in particular than I do. I've only talked to him in person twice briefly, neither time about AGI, and I haven't read his book.
Russell and Norvig, Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach. Third Edition, 2010, pp. 1037 - 1040. Available here.
I think the key quote here is:
Hm...I personally find it hard to divine much about Norvig's personal views from this. It seems like a relatively straightforward factual statement about the state of the field (possibly hedging to the extent that I think the arguments in favor of strong AI being possible are relatively conclusive, i.e. >90% in favor of possibility).
When I spoke to Norvig at the 2012 Summit, he seemed to think getting good outcomes from AGI could indeed be pretty hard, but also that AGI was probably a few centuries away. IIRC.
Interesting, thanks.