jaibot comments on AALWA: Ask any LessWronger anything - Less Wrong

28 Post author: Will_Newsome 12 January 2014 02:18AM

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Comment author: jaibot 13 January 2014 02:03:46PM *  3 points [-]

I think the key quote here is:

Arguments for and against strong are inconclusive. Few mainstream researchers believe that anything significant hinges on the outcome of the debate.

Comment author: jsteinhardt 14 January 2014 09:19:20AM 1 point [-]

Hm...I personally find it hard to divine much about Norvig's personal views from this. It seems like a relatively straightforward factual statement about the state of the field (possibly hedging to the extent that I think the arguments in favor of strong AI being possible are relatively conclusive, i.e. >90% in favor of possibility).

Comment author: lukeprog 15 January 2014 12:27:08AM 4 points [-]

When I spoke to Norvig at the 2012 Summit, he seemed to think getting good outcomes from AGI could indeed be pretty hard, but also that AGI was probably a few centuries away. IIRC.

Comment author: IlyaShpitser 15 January 2014 12:52:16AM 0 points [-]

Interesting, thanks.

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