notsonewuser comments on Anthropic Atheism - Less Wrong

21 [deleted] 13 January 2014 05:00AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (52)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: notsonewuser 12 January 2014 08:27:27PM 1 point [-]

But it leaves open a trap where people accidentally sneak in whatever prior probabilities they want - I think you fall into this on the Sleeping Beauty problem.

I see this as explicitly not happening. nyan_sandwich says:

No update happens in the Doomsday Argument; both glorious futures and impending doom are consistent with my existence, their relative probability comes from other reasoning.

"Other reasoning" including whatever prior probabilities were there before.