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Khoth comments on On Voting for Third Parties - Less Wrong
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Pro 5) The more people vote for a third party, the more likely it is that one of the main parties will adopt some of their policies in an attempt to get those votes.
(Eliezer makes the same point here.)
I think this is the same as (more accurately: is presumed by, and is the reason for the relevance of) Coscott's Pro 1.