J_Thomas comments on Conjunction Controversy (Or, How They Nail It Down) - Less Wrong

26 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 20 September 2007 02:41AM

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Comment author: J_Thomas 21 September 2007 07:03:44PM 0 points [-]

So how do we correctly blend our knowledge of comparative numbers versus the way specific circumstances bias the odds?

Mix in too much of either sort of knowledge and you have a bias. But how can you know how much of each to include? Usually you'd have to guess.