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William_Quixote comments on 2013 Survey Results - Less Wrong
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Hypothesis: the predictions on the population of Europe are bimodal, split between people thinking of geographical Europe (739M) vs people thinking of the EU (508M). I'm going to go check the data and report back.
As one datapoint I went with Europe as EU so it's plausible others did too
Me too, at least sort of - I just had a number stored in my brain that I associated with "Europe." Turned out it was EU only, although I didn't have any confusion about the question - I thought I was answering for all of Europe.
Same here.
I also interpreted Europe as EU, although I was about 20% off that as well.