notsonewuser comments on 2013 Survey Results - Less Wrong

74 Post author: Yvain 19 January 2014 02:51AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (558)

Sort By: Controversial

You are viewing a single comment's thread.

Comment author: notsonewuser 19 January 2014 06:32:29PM 17 points [-]

Yvain - Next year, please include a question asking if the person taking the survey uses PredictionBook. I'd be curious to see if these people are better calibrated.

Comment author: John_Maxwell_IV 23 January 2014 06:28:27AM 2 points [-]

Maybe ask them how many predictions they have made so we can see if using it more makes you better.

Comment author: NancyLebovitz 26 January 2014 01:36:32AM 0 points [-]

Probably a good idea-- I use PredictionBook for casual entertainment, not as a serious effort at self-calibration.