VipulNaik comments on Supply, demand, and technological progress: how might the future unfold? Should we believe in runaway exponential growth? - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Loading…
Subscribe to RSS Feed
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
Comments (57)
This is a good point that I didn't address in the post. I'd thought about it a while back but I omitted discussing it in the post.
A few counterpoints:
I should note that I'm somewhat exceptional: I like having local copies of things to a much greater extent than most people (I download Wikipedia every month so I can have access to it offline, and I have a large number of movies and music stored on my hard drive). But to the extent that the Internet and improved connectivity has an effect, I suspect it would be ranging from something like multiplying demand by 4X (high-end) to actually reducing demand.
The point about camera, still, and video is good, and I do see applications in principle that could be used to fill up a lot of disk space. I don't think there is a lot of demand for these applications at the current margin. How many people who aren't photographers (by profession or hobby) even think about the storage space of their photos on their hard drives? How many people shoot videos and store them on their hard drives to a level that they actually have to start thinking about disk space considerations? I suspect the numbers involved here would be negligible. But I could be mistaken.
90% agree, one other thing you may not know: both dropbox and google drive have options to automatically upload photos from your phone, and you don't have to sync your desktop with them. So it's not clear that they merely double the needed space.