ibbyitis comments on What is Evidence? - Less Wrong

60 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 22 September 2007 06:43AM

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Comment author: ibbyitis 30 August 2016 04:25:50PM 0 points [-]

X : precence of flower A in certain area e : there are bees on that area then you would possibly have that P(X) < P(X|e), given that bees help doing pollinization. Then should we phrase "probability of having flower A in an area is greater if we have bees, therefore e is evidence for X (bees are evidence for flower A)" and what if X is "having presents brought by santa claus", and e is "we are in USA instead of cambodia" (which increases the probability of having presents because that date is more commonly celebrated with presents in USA).