And yes, I intentionally asked what you think the official verdict will be rather than the perhaps more important question as to whether they are innocent or guilty. Reason being, making predictions on unverifiable things seems like a bad habit and I don't want to encourage it.
It's confusing to call making of unverifiable predictions a "bad habit" (not specific, noncentral); it just doesn't have the additional benefit of teaching you calibration. Learning from verified predictions is one of multiple things that can be done to improve the accuracy of predictions, including unverifiable ones. If you are making very long-term verifiable predictions, there is little opportunity to learn from their verification, so in this case the distinction breaks down.
Today an Italian court has declared that Amanda Knox is, once again, guilty. She did not attend that trial (is not required to in Italy), so her final verdict will be either by appeal to the Supreme Court of Italy or the US extradition court. Extradition requests might be impeded due to the fact US does not have double jeopardy.
Previously on LessWrong, in The Amanda Knox Test: How an Hour on the Internet Beats a Year in the Courtroom there was some complaint that it actually took more than an hour on the internet to thoroughly research the case. Of course, the courts have been at this since 2007...
Her co-defendant, Raffaele Sollecito, who did show up at the trial, got sentenced to 25 years, but I don't know for sure where he is now because apparently he's totally unimportant and who cares (the media's opinion, not mine). I'm fairly sure he's in Italy though. So far it seems the plan is to revoke his passport but not arrest him.
Anyone want to take their hand at making predictions?