I think you underestimate the costs of doing that. Not just the financial costs, but the social ones. Changing idendity requires forfeiting most of your property that you can't carry with you, all your academic and professional certifications and achievements, and your entire social network.
You don't have any basis for that conclusion. The social costs are obvious and the financial costs I happen to have researched.
It's unclear to me that this would be better than spending 25 years in prison.
I neither believe nor disbelieve your claim about yourself. People do stranger things than voluntarily obliterate most of their life (suicide doesn't even offer parole). Nevertheless the reasoning "V_V would prefer imprisonment for most of the rest of his life over moving to a country without an extradition treaty therefore Wedrifid must underestimate the costs of such a move" is rather flawed.
You don't have any basis for that conclusion. The social costs are obvious and the financial costs I happen to have researched.
Fair enough, you are probably quite unusual.
Today an Italian court has declared that Amanda Knox is, once again, guilty. She did not attend that trial (is not required to in Italy), so her final verdict will be either by appeal to the Supreme Court of Italy or the US extradition court. Extradition requests might be impeded due to the fact US does not have double jeopardy.
Previously on LessWrong, in The Amanda Knox Test: How an Hour on the Internet Beats a Year in the Courtroom there was some complaint that it actually took more than an hour on the internet to thoroughly research the case. Of course, the courts have been at this since 2007...
Her co-defendant, Raffaele Sollecito, who did show up at the trial, got sentenced to 25 years, but I don't know for sure where he is now because apparently he's totally unimportant and who cares (the media's opinion, not mine). I'm fairly sure he's in Italy though. So far it seems the plan is to revoke his passport but not arrest him.
Anyone want to take their hand at making predictions?