jsteinhardt comments on A Fervent Defense of Frequentist Statistics - Less Wrong

43 Post author: jsteinhardt 18 February 2014 08:08PM

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Comment author: jsteinhardt 10 February 2014 07:26:40AM 0 points [-]

A particular sentence I'd point to is

We are interested in constructing a probability distribution q(x) such that no matter what particular value p(x) takes, q(x) will still make good predictions.

This is the thing I don't think physicists (or Jaynes, though I haven't really read Jaynes) do. But if I'm wrong I'll edit the post to reflect that.

Comment author: EHeller 10 February 2014 07:38:19AM 2 points [-]

If you rephrased that as "no matter what microstate compatible with the extrinsic observations the system is in, our model makes good predictions" I think you'd find that most physicists would recognize that as standard thermodynamics, and also that (like me) they wouldn't recognize it as a game :).

Comment author: jsteinhardt 10 February 2014 07:41:54AM 2 points [-]

Okay, I've edited the relevant part of the original post to link to this comment thread.

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