orthonormal comments on A Fervent Defense of Frequentist Statistics - Less Wrong
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I would be quite surprised if Wall Street quant firms didn't use unit tests of this sort before letting a new algorithm play with real money. And in fact, I can imagine a promising-sounding algorithm flaming out by making a cycle of Dutch-booked trades...
I think the point is, it doesn't matter if the parts of your model that you're not thinking about are wrong.
A fine quant algorithm could have an incomplete, inconsistent model that is Dutch-bookable only in regions outside of its main focus. Before it would go out and make those Dutch-booking trades, though, it would focus on those areas and, get itself consistent there, and make good (or no) trades instead.