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Luke_A_Somers comments on Einstein's Arrogance - Less Wrong
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Hanson, that's why I picked Einstein - he'd already been "lucky" once at that point. Also, he would still need quite a lot of evidence just to get to the point of having a remote chance of being right.
McCabe, you're right, it's completely obvious, it makes you wonder why Einstein took ten years to figure it out.
Not at all obvious, but there are very few hypotheses that could be specified as briefly. What took ten years was figuring out how to get from the very short specification into an algebraic expression that satisfied its constraints.
A bit like, if the theory was 'just' Fermat's Last Theorem, proving it could take a while.
He was being sarcastic.