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Hawisher comments on Einstein's Arrogance - Less Wrong
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Well, Einstein wouldn't arrive at just any conclusion.
Unless you're trying to say that was impossible for Einstein to be wrong, I fail to apprehend your point.
The probability distribution over conclusions about physics, representing the probability that a person would arrive at each conclusion, is not the same for Einstein as for an arbitrary person. And this difference is not arbitrary.
Dually, if I told you I had a conclusion about physics in an envelope, and asked what probability you would give that it was a true one, you might give a figure X. If I then told you the conclusion was made by Einstein and asked what probability you now gave that it was a true conclusion, I expect you would give a figure greater than X.