Being the guy with the gun who gets into the shelter is an assurance that society will endure
I'm not sure I understand what you're saying. Do you mean that not bringing a gun into the shelter makes society-in-general less likely to survive? If so, would you mind expanding on your reasoning?
Thank you for your question. I'm saying that society is formed by violence. If someone has the means and opportunity to commit violence then society is the motivation that our species and the species we come from have yet to say no to. I can have a nice disagreement online with strangers because police and military groups (paid for with taxes extracted with threats of violence) stand ready to use violence to stop those who would use violence to stop my nice disagreement. Further, the distribution of the means of violence will influence the society formed...
Nick Beckstead just published a post on disaster shelters over at the Effective Altruism Blog. Summary: