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gwern comments on 9/26 is Petrov Day - Less Wrong

101 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 26 September 2007 04:14PM

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Comment author: gwern 14 November 2011 04:48:06PM 3 points [-]

it may well have been relatively accurate.

Depends on what relatively accurate is. Bin Laden was off by about 2 or 3 orders of magnitude, depending on how you count floors and number of collapsed buildings: http://www.gwern.net/Terrorism%20is%20not%20Effective#fn4