Eugine_Nier comments on Open Thread February 25 - March 3 - Less Wrong
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Well, the success of arranged marriages in cultures that practice them suggests the "right match" isn't that important.
What makes you think these marriages are successful? Low divorce rates are not good evidence in places where divorce is often impractical.
Three main points in favor of arranged marriages that I'm aware of:
I also think most modern arranged marriages involve some choice on the part of the participants- "meet these four people, tell us if you can't stand any of them" instead of "you will marry this one person."
I remember seeing studies that attempted to measure happiness.
Links? I am also quite suspicious of measuring happiness -- by one measure Bhutan is the happiest country in the world and, um, I have my doubts.
Source.
Source.
Source.
A contrary finding:
Source.
Why are you even asking for links to studies if you admit you don't care what studies say?
I have a prior that the studies are suspect. But that prior can be updated by evidence.
Why does it suggest that rather than that the arrangers are better at finding the "right match" than the persons to be married?
I'm not sure this is correct. That is to say, the empirical point that divorce is much less common in arranged marriage cultures is obviously true. But
a) I think there is some correlation between prevalence arranged marriage and stigma associated with divorce, meaning that not getting divorced does not necessarily equal happy marriage.
b) The bar for success in 20th-21st century western marriages is set really high. It's not just an economic arrangement; people want a best friend and a passionate lover and maybe several other things rolled into one. When people in traditional cultures say that their marriages are "happy," they may well mean something much less than what affluent westerners would consider satisfactory.