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shminux comments on Link: Poking the Bear (Podcast) - Less Wrong
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I will bet you $20 U.S. (mine) vs $100 (yours) that Russian tanks will be involved in combat in the Ukraine within 60 days. So in 60 days I will pay you $20 if I lose the bet, but you pay me $100 if I win. Agreed?
I have no interest in betting money on political developments, even though I think I'd likely win in this case. Just enter your prediction in http://predictionbook.com.