MugaSofer comments on Rationality Quotes March 2014 - Less Wrong

4 Post author: malcolmocean 01 March 2014 03:34PM

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Comment author: MugaSofer 31 March 2014 06:29:21PM *  2 points [-]

Well, sure, you have a relatively high opinion of authority. But even a vague claim needs the expert to be significantly better than chance to be promoted to your attention.

(And, well, this guy isn't a physicist. He's involved in medicine. There's less likely to be clear-cut experimental proof the expert can simply point out in order to overcome your prior. Instead, you get a huge, enormous pile of famous cases where The Experts Screwed Up.)

Comment author: [deleted] 06 April 2014 06:30:41AM 0 points [-]

Instead, you get a huge, enormous pile of famous cases where The Experts Screwed Up.

But there also are many many cases where the experts didn't screw up, which are less famous for obvious reasons. Believing doctors are always wrong sounds kind of extreme to me; sometimes they are right. (Otherwise, how comes life expectancy has increased so much in the past century?)