Robyn Dawes, "Rational Choice in an Uncertain World", great intro for a popular educated audience.

The edited volumes "Judgment Under Uncertainty", "Heuristics and Biases", and optionally "Choices, Values, and Frames", in that order, for a survey of the research in heuristics and biases.

Probability theory for complicated problems that can be solved by calculus: E.T. Jaynes, "Probability Theory: The Logic of Science"

Probability theory and the structure of the real world exploited by tractable cognitive algorithms: Judea Pearl, "Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems"

Some other books I found important on my journey:

"The Moral Animal" by Robert Wright, popular intro to ev-psych

"The Adapted Mind", especially "The Psychological Foundations of Culture", by Tooby and Cosmides (less popular ev-psych)

"Adaptation and Natural Selection" by George Williams (how to stop anthropomorphizing evolution)

"The Tao is Silent" by Raymond Smullyan (correct action does not have to be effortful or rigidly controlled)

There is much mention in this blog about Bayesian rationality, or the use of Bayes' methods in decision making. Now, I studied Bayes conditional probabilities in Statistics class in University many years ago, but my knowledge of the theory ends there. Can you recommend any good books on the subject?

In fact, do you folks have a recommended reading list (other than this blog, of course!) for those trying to identify and overcome their own biases?