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lukeprog comments on Is my view contrarian? - Less Wrong
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Comments (94)
I've not read all your references yet, so perhaps you can just give me a link: why is it useful to classify your beliefs as contrarian or not? If you already know that e.g. most philosophers of religion believe in God but most physicists do not, then it seems like you already know enough to start drawing useful conclusions about your own correctness.
In other words, I guess I don't see how the "contrarianism" concept, as you've defined it, helps you believe only true things. It seems...incidental.
I agree: see footnote 1.
The 'My Approach' summary was supposed to make clear that in the end it always comes down to a "model combination and adjustment" anyway, but maybe I didn't make that clear enough.
Mm, fair enough. Maybe I'm just getting distracted by the word "contrarian".
Would another reasonable title for this sequence be "How to Correctly Update on Expert Opinion", or would that miss some nuance?