rthomas6 comments on Irrationality Game III - Less Wrong

11 Post author: CellBioGuy 12 March 2014 01:51PM

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Comment author: rthomas6 12 March 2014 08:55:13PM *  0 points [-]

What degree of certainty do you place on that belief?

Comment author: solipsist 12 March 2014 10:16:28PM *  0 points [-]

I could put numbers to it, but it would really be pulling them out of my butt -- how certain are you that anthropic reasoning is valid? If it is valid (which seems more likely than not), then you quickly run into the problem of Boltzmann brains. Some people try to exorcise Boltzmann brains from their anthropic viewpoint, but I have no problem with biting the bullet that most brains are Boltzmann brains. The practical implications of that belief, assuming the world is as it appears to be, are (I believe) minimal.