= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
Gunnar_Zarncke comments on Terrorist baby down the well: a look at institutional forces - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (23)
Humans overestimate risks of hostile action, and underestimate risks of natural phenomena. The base rate of terrorism is tiny compared to that of natural disasters. So yes, we deploy excessive preparation in one case and insufficient preparation in the other.
Another is to note that some forms of preparation work against both natural and artificial disasters. For instance, emergency medical training is useful in treating people who've been injured by a terrorist bomb or an earthquake.
The natural phenomena are developing slower, are more random, usually show no exponential grows and can be altered less.
Wheras the exponential growth effect of human action mandates a quick reaction.