thomblake comments on We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think - Less Wrong

39 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 03 October 2007 06:14PM

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Comment author: thomblake 04 January 2012 06:55:52PM 4 points [-]

With regards to your skydiving example, how about you be a good chap and link the appropriate lesswrong description for ludicrously weak analogy.

I don't believe there is one. Also, it's on the strong side as analogies go - it's a risky behavior that is a lot of fun, specifically from going very fast. What would be a better analogy, going fast in speedboats?

Third, one third of american teenage deaths are in motor vehicles.

Maybe I'm misreading, but it looks to me like a little over 35%. That said, I don't see how it's relevant. If one teenager died every 20 years and 1/3 of them were in motor vehicles, would that imply anything? How does the 1/3 of deaths relate to anything about proper analysis of risks, and is anything similar implied by the 13% that die from homicide? Should teens stop going to places where there are other humans, even though it's enjoyable, because someone there might kill them?