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wedrifid comments on We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think - Less Wrong
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Presumably if you can predict that Candidate A will ruin the economy, then you vote for Candidate B instead.
Unless you can think of a way of winning by having advance knowledge that the economy will be ruined, which will net you greater gain than having an un-ruined economy would be. Then you may selfishly vote for Candidate A.
I'm ignoring here the question of how much your opinion influences the outcome of the election, of course. Also if you end up predicting that all the candidates will ruin the economy equally, you don't have much of a decision to make.
I can only predict what will happen on the basis that a) their policies will have a certain effect and b) they will actually implement their policies. Which gets back to the original point: if they are not going to do what they say, what is the point of voting?
That seems to be a significant limitation.
Fortunately, not everybody has said limitation.