Another month has passed and here is a new rationality quotes thread. The usual rules are:
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And one new rule:
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In other words, you made them up. Fictional evidence.
you did say (my emphasis)
Why should a myth about Zeus change anyone's belief by "orders of magnitude"?
I'm decently calibrated on the credence game and have made plenty of prediction book predictions. The idea of Bayesianism that it's good to boil down your beliefs to probability numbers.
If you think my argument is wrong provide your own numbers. P(Zeus exists | Myths exists) and P(Zeus exists | Myths don't exist)
There really no point discussing Zeus further if you aren't willing to put number on your own beliefs. Apart from that I linked to a discussion about Bayesianism and you might want to read that discussion if you want a deeper understanding of the claim.