Tenoke comments on Open Thread, April 27-May 4, 2014 - Less Wrong

0 Post author: NancyLebovitz 27 April 2014 08:34PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (200)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Tenoke 28 April 2014 06:55:40AM -1 points [-]

'From my point of view the probability for X is Y, but from his point of view at the time it would've been Z'. (subjective) vs 'The Probability for X is Y' ('objective').

Honestly though, frequentists use subjective probabilities all the time and you can argue that frequentism is just as subjective as bayesinism, so even that disagreement is quite muddy.

Comment author: Punoxysm 28 April 2014 06:23:26PM 2 points [-]

Can you be more concrete? When would this matter for two people trying to share a model and make predictions of future events?