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MrHen comments on Cached Thoughts - Less Wrong
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No, that makes sense to me. You have essentially no information about whether a statement is more likely to be true or false at that percentage range.
Cool. I guess I never thought about what the distinction between active and passive disbelief would be for a Bayesian. It makes perfect sense now that I think about it... and it would have certainly made a whole bunch of discussions in my past a lot easier.
Pssh. Always learning something new, I guess.