pengvado comments on Cached Thoughts - Less Wrong

51 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 11 October 2007 11:46PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (92)

Sort By: Old

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Blueberry 09 February 2010 01:15:44AM 0 points [-]

No, that makes sense to me. You have essentially no information about whether a statement is more likely to be true or false at that percentage range.

Comment author: pengvado 09 February 2010 02:14:24AM *  3 points [-]

Sort-of agree. The Bayesian formulation of a similar strategy is: Don't bother remembering an answer to a question when that answer is the same as what you would derive from the ignorance prior. i.e. discard evidence whose likelihood ratio is near 1. However, the prior isn't always 50%.