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Pat comments on 2014 Survey of Effective Altruists - Less Wrong
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[Thread for making and discussing predictions]
To expand on my predictions, I think that global poverty will be the most popular cause except among those who say they heard of EA through LessWrong (whose numbers I'll be interested to see). I also think that skepticism/atheism will be the other social movement with which most identify, and atheism the most popular religious position. In the link Jacy Anthis has given a full set of predictions to test his accuracy.
Here are my predictions (on Prediction Book):
Fun site! Once you register, it lets you assign probabilities to predictions others have made.