Drayin comments on 2014 Survey of Effective Altruists - Less Wrong

27 Post author: tog 05 May 2014 02:32AM

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Comment author: tog 01 May 2014 02:38:30PM *  4 points [-]

[Thread for making and discussing predictions]

To expand on my predictions, I think that global poverty will be the most popular cause except among those who say they heard of EA through LessWrong (whose numbers I'll be interested to see). I also think that skepticism/atheism will be the other social movement with which most identify, and atheism the most popular religious position. In the link Jacy Anthis has given a full set of predictions to test his accuracy.

Comment author: Drayin 03 May 2014 01:44:18AM 3 points [-]

I predict:

  • utilitarianism's the most common philosophy
  • a clear majority will be non-religious, and respondents often identify with skepticism/atheism as a social movement
  • a clear majority are left wing
  • most respondents are under 30, with 50% students
  • people often heard of EA through Peter Singer

And the most significant outcome:

  • There will be many non-students without significant donations, which in my view is not a good thing at all
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