You know the drill - If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one.
3. Open Threads should start on Monday, and end on Sunday.
4. Open Threads should be posted in Discussion, and not Main.
If I wanted to know how likely it was that Republicans would win the next election, how could I go about estimating this from the financial markets?
The summary seems to be: look at overall index gains to predict incumbent odds; look at sectors &... (read more)