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polymathwannabe comments on What do rationalists think about the afterlife? - Less Wrong
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You don't seem to understand what it's really like to "have no data." A question with no data is something like: Will the Emperor of Alfa Centauri eat fried lummywaps or boiled sanquemels today?
On human consciousness we have lots and lots of data, more than enough to predict confidently that it's lost forever when we die.
I get your point, but your example is poor - I think we have more than enough data to answer this question: No, with 99%+ probability.