Benito comments on What do rationalists think about the afterlife? - Less Wrong
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From an external point of view, the situation is analogous. Every time everyone's ever died, the evidence of their consciousness has ceased, and whenever a song has turn off, the evidence of it's being on has ceased. So to say that one has definitely ended, whilst the other one is fifty-fifty, seems a mistake.
The difference is that with consciousness there is also an internal point of view, with songs there isn't.