DanielLC comments on Pascal's Mugging Solved - Less Wrong
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Comments (29)
Perhaps, but performing every action to prepare for Pascal's mugging hardly counts as avoiding Pascal's mugging. Quite the opposite: now you're constraining everything you do even if nobody threatens you.
There's actually a larger problem. If you don't have some way of avoiding Pascal's mugging, your expected utility is almost certainly divergent. You can find a risk with expected value of arbitrarily high magnitude in either direction.
Thank you! This makes me glad that I had been going through my logic item by Item, because I had not not been considering that Pascal's mugging had mathematical similarities to the St. Petersburg Paradox.