DanArmak comments on Rationality Quotes June 2014 - Less Wrong

9 Post author: Tyrrell_McAllister 01 June 2014 08:32PM

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Comment author: DanArmak 05 June 2014 08:05:45PM 6 points [-]

large part of the problem is that all the lessons of Traditional Rationality teach to guard against actually arriving to conclusions before amassing what I think one Sequence post called "mountains of evidence".

Except for scientific research, which will happily accept p < 0.05 to publish the most improbable claims.

Comment author: lmm 18 June 2014 11:12:42PM 4 points [-]

No, "real science" requires more evidence than that - 5 sigma in HEP. p < 0.05 is the preserve of "soft science".

Comment author: [deleted] 19 June 2014 04:11:36PM *  4 points [-]

And even with more than 5 sigma people will be like ‘we probably screwed up somewhere’ when the claim is sufficiently improbable, see e.g. the last paragraph before the acknowledgements in arXiv:1109.4897v1.