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shminux comments on Rationality Quotes June 2014 - Less Wrong
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Three Bayesians walk into a bar: a) what's the probability that this is a joke? b) what's the probability that one of the three is a Rabbi? c) given that one of the three is a Rabbi, what's the probability that this is a joke? (c)
According to the base rate there is an evidence that this is a joke about Russia national team or Suarez bite
This seems to be the original source, as far as I can tell: https://twitter.com/rickasaurus/status/471930220782448641