DanielLC comments on Pascal's Mugging: Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (334)
You're not picking 3^^^^3 out of the air. The other guy told you that number.
You can't pick probabilities out of the air. If you could, why not just set the probability that you're God to one?
With what probability? Would you give money to a mugger if their gun probably isn't loaded? Is this example fundamentally different?